Nintendo
What does it all mean? (Profits, Thousand Year Door
What does it all mean? (Profits, Thousand Year Door sales and more…)
#Profits #Thousand #Year #Door
“Nintendo Forecast”
A quick chat through the August financial data. This is a pretty quick reaction but let me know if there’s anything I’ve missed.
source
To see the full content, share this page by clicking one of the buttons below |
I think one reason perhaps for the decline of the OLED sales, consumers asking themselves, do I wan't to pay a premium price for a Switch, when a new one is incoming within a year.
In your professional opinion do you feel this record-setting sales momentum is even sustainable for Nintendo? Or do you feel their sales figures go up and down with each console generation?
Whether paper mario fails or succeeds depends on the next quarter's sales. Then it will be confirmed what the majority of its sales will be.
Solid video. 👍
“The difference is negligible” I know that word “negligible” is genuine here, but I have seen that word used elsewhere by another corpo when it ended up non-negligible, so I giggled.
Id wonder if the difference in sales of OLED models between Japan and the US might have to do with a cultural difference like a greater tendency to care about playing the Switch undocked due to commuting, etc.
market's panicking, but not us "forecast followers" lol
it is just me or did this channel got the attention of sony ponies who keeps downplaying every single nintendo's accomplishment ?
so impressed by your timely video release! thank you Mr. Forecast as always
If there was a lag in terms of adoption between japan and US in the first years of the Switch, maybe the Oled over sale could be explain by replacement purchases ? If so, we might see an over sale of the Oled Switch on the other side for the holiday season. (If the switch 2 release date is not in the first months of 2025)
This paper Mario situation proves something that I've been saying for a while now…… and that is the fact that old school paper Mario fans opinions are not the only one's that matter here
Let's look at the sales, There's the fact that ok sold 2.2 million copies in it's opening weekend which is still better than what the tttyd remake did in over a month. While yes there is the fact that it likely got a small boost from the pandemic it still showed better sales than most other games in the series including ttyd. Again this proves that Fans of the Newer Games like OK matter just as much as the older fans due to how they have helped it get so successful. There's a ton of people that i saw that didn't buy the remake because it wasn't like OK or the fact the older fans kept saying that if tttyd sold better than ok then they wouldn't get more games like that in the future. That's something that the paper Mario community needs to understand otherwise it'll cause them a lot of headaches going forward
Regarding the goal they've set on sold Switches, how much has the Switch sold year by year, and how much has sales decreased year by year? I think I saw somewhere that 13 million or so is within expectations for this year as last year sold 16 million and sales for FY23 were 18M. Unless sales really crater for some reason, a gradual incline downwards can still meet their goals.
I don’t think Ttyd is a failure, I mean this is only sales from release to June 30th, and that’s pretty good sales for a Mario spinoff
How come their stock dropped like 10%. Nevermind it jump right back up, i was a pussy and sold 🥶
edit 2: it fell again, just learned the market is crashing in general
Very interesting, i hope they'll port the first Luigi's Mansion too. Maybe as a Switch game shortly before or shortly after the launch of the successor
Maybe the OLED model is selling more in Japan because it's a desirable feature for portable mode? Japan loves its handhelds. Perhaps there's a much higher tendency in the Americas to settle for the OG model because they're not planning to use it in portable mode anyway. Just a guess, I have no data.
With these immense declines, they have no chance of hitting 13.5m. That is, without a price cut. A price cut is finally inevitable, it is completely impossible they hit 13.5 and unlikely they even hit 10m this fiscal year without it.
Something I don’t ever hear people mention is that the OLED model has been up year on year until now. This will be its first year of decline.
I'm so happy Paper Mario TTYD is doing so well! I'm having so much fun playing!
Nintendo often doesn’t do a Q&A for their first quarter results. There are none this time. As for the discrepancy of the OLED model, I would say the weak yen lead to more exports. I’ve seen many Japanese OLED models and PlayStation fives in international airports.
April is an important month in Japan as its when students start their new school years and many college graduates begin new careers so I think people were buying oleds to celebrate
maybe the switch oled appeals to japanese audiences more because of its fancy screen, as they generally prefer handheld mode. meanwhile, an american is more likely to get one primarily for tv play, so the extra fifty bucks wouldn't really seem worth it when they're gonna get an sd card for storage anyways, and could buy a lan adapter if they reeeaally cared that much.
Unless Nintendo officially adjust their numbers, I see no reason why they can't hit their 13.5 million projections for the year. They're clearly banking on the holiday period and good end of life support that they're giving the switch even into next year. A price drop is also not off the table.
As far as passing DS and PS2 they are less than 13 million units away from surpassing both. Being generous with the 157m because Sony's official numbers end after 155m since the numbers were negligible past that point. No shot it reached 160 and wasn't reported. Just Jim Ryan and pony copium. Nintendo doesn't have to reach that number this fiscal year. Only before manufacturing comes to a complete stop which is not 2 years away at the earliest.
"TTYD sells 1.7 million in six weeks = Paper Mario is doomed and the people who liked TTYD were always wrong" – People online, apparently?
good video as always. cant wait for more! (would love to listen to a longer one while im at the gym)
i feel like they're just being way too quiet about everything, and really lack a big proper console selling game this year. last year was amazing but this years just been mario spin offs (as AMAZING as ttyd is, theyre all starting to blend together tbh. people complain pokemon games released too fast but DANG i love mario and i am burnt out)
we've also had obscure series like another code/famicom detective club and then we have a echoes of wisdom
but idk. there just hasnt been something.. Big i guess. combined with the directs being 90% or even 100% filler, everything just feels kinda barebones.
i wish the switch 2 would happen in 2026 and theyd focus on having an ultimate final year for 2025 instead tbh
please nintendo, actually announce some nintendo games!
Graphics always matter this is why sony keeps winning the console wars vs Nintendo.
I think if TTYD remake can cross the 3 million threshold over the Christmas season then it’ll bode well for traditional Paper Mario fans.
There was some controversy online surrounding TTYD remake’s framerate and social commentary. People are of course inclined to spend how they see fit—especially in today’s awful economy—but I would highly recommend people to pick up the TTYD remake!!
If you appreciate amazing art design, endlessly endearing character and scenario writing, imaginative worlds, fantastic music, and deeply engaging gameplay, then I truly believe that you’ll love this game!!
Hope it sells a lot more over this Christmas season!!
there isn’t going to be a q&a afaik
There's no way the Switch is selling 13.5M this fiscal year.
No chance Switch can reach ps2 160m total sales it cant even match DS 154m numbers.
The bottom line is net profit.
What more important, though, is future profits and growth. Nintendo is a money printer and I just bought more of it when the price dropped.
Following the previous years, Q2 should yield about 3M more in hardware sales.